Lynch himself preferred logarithmic charts where you get a better grasp of the actual relative rate of growth. Francisco Parames also uses Peter Lynch diagrams for European stocks, Parames like Lynch and unlike Gurufocus, uses a logarithmic scale.
I use a weighted Earnings per Share over 3 years in this logarithmic Peter Lynch graph for Apple:
Surprisingly, the 4 years before the iPhone launch in the second half of 2007 seemed to be better for investors than the first 4 years after the iPhone was first introduced...
Here is a linear chart I made in 2013 when the price was $400, adjusted for the 7-1 stock split in 2014 that would be: $57, not a bad price considering today's price of $142 but also considering earnings at the time.
The question is: "What do you expect in a couple of years? Earnings?" In this case Earnings per Share (as a Shareholder that is more important to me than total company earnings).
I don't know how the company will do.
Stupid assumption 1: Unchanged earnings. Say $50b a year.
There are 4,8b shares outstanding. Price is $142 per share. Cash $130b.
Stupid assumption number 2: Unchanged stock price.
Apple's CEO Tim Cook has said he will use cash to buy shares (and pay dividends).
$130b cash @$142 per share = 0,92b share buy back.
Share count: 4,8b - 0,92b = 3,9b shares
Buyback per year: $50b @$142 per share = 0,35b
Shares end of year 1: 3,9b - 0,35b = 3,55b
Earnings per share: $50b/3,55 shares = $14 EPS end of year 1
Shares end of year 2: 3,55b - 0,35b share buyback = 3,2b
Earnings per share: $50b/3,2b = $15,6 EPS end of year 2
Earnings per share: $50b/2,85b shares = $17,54 end of year 3
Earnings per share: $50b/2,5 shares = $20 end of year 4
Earnings per share: $50/2,15 = $23 end of year 5
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